Artificial Intelligence
Artificial Intelligence
The Largest Capital-Formation Event of Our Lifetime

The global AI market is on track to expand from roughly $602 billion in 2024 to about $3.6 trillion by 2033 — a compound annual growth rate near 29%. That trajectory isn't built on hype; it's the aggregate of contracted data-centre construction, semiconductor order books and enterprise software budgets that have already been committed.

Extended Investment takes a structured position across the entire value chain rather than betting on a single winner — the chip layer that manufactures the compute, the cloud layer that operates it, and the application layer that monetises it. Concentration within the theme; diversification across the stack.

Strategy at a Glance
  • Market (2024) $602B
  • Forecast (2033) $3.6T
  • Monthly Returns 6-8%
  • 2026 AI capex >$500B
  • Sub-sectors Chip · Cloud · App · Private
  • Linked mandate $470M
AI compute infrastructure — data centre
We don't bet on the winner of the AI race. We own the road every competitor has to drive on.
How We Invest — the Full Stack

Every dollar of AI demand passes through four layers. We hold conviction positions in all four, weighted to where the margins and the moats are strongest.

01
Chip Layer

The compute supply. A handful of designers and foundries control the GPUs, accelerators and high-bandwidth memory the industry depends on — NVIDIA holds an estimated 70–95% of training silicon at ~75% gross margins, with TSMC and HBM makers forming the structural bottleneck. As workloads shift from training to inference, we add custom-ASIC exposure growing ~28% a year.

02
Cloud Layer

The compute operators. Hyperscalers — Azure, AWS, Google Cloud and Oracle — are funding the >$500B buildout and marking raw GPUs up as rented inference. We hold the operators turning today's capital expenditure into durable, contracted cloud revenue.

03
Application Layer

The compute monetisers. Foundation models from the frontier AI labs — OpenAI, Anthropic and Google DeepMind — plus the copilots and vertical software built on top of them, turning raw compute into recurring enterprise revenue. The youngest and fastest-moving layer — we size it for asymmetry and manage it actively.

04
Private Placement

The compute owners — before they list. We take direct pre-IPO and secondary-market positions in the frontier private AI companies, where the largest value is still being created off the public market. In 2026 these became the biggest private assets in the world — Anthropic raised near a $965B valuation and OpenAI filed to list above $850B — and we secure that late-stage compounding before it reaches an exchange.


Semiconductor circuit board — the chip layer
Why Now — the Compute Supercycle

The AI trade is often dismissed as crowded. The data says otherwise: spending is accelerating, not peaking.

  • >$500B hyperscaler AI capex committed for 2026
  • Inference shifting from ~40% toward 80–90% of compute by 2030
  • High-bandwidth memory demand forecast to grow ~600% to 2030
  • Sovereign and enterprise AI budgets still in early innings
$470M
In practice — Tech Equity Mandate

A full-stack AI allocation spanning chip, cloud and application names, structured for a single institutional client. Talk to our team →

Allocator
Questions

The questions institutional allocators ask us most about this strategy.

  • 01 Isn't the AI trade already crowded?
    Crowding is a price concern, not a demand concern. The capital expenditure behind AI is still accelerating — more than $500 billion committed for 2026 alone — and it has to flow through suppliers, operators and software. Holding all three layers lets us participate in the demand while spreading valuation risk across the stack rather than concentrating it in a single crowded name.
  • 02 How do you manage concentration risk?
    We are concentrated in the theme but diversified across its value chain, and every position is risk-budgeted to your tolerance rather than ours. The book is monitored daily and rebalanced quarterly as the mix shifts — for example, from training toward inference silicon — so exposure tracks the thesis rather than last quarter's winners.
  • 03 How do allocators access the strategy?
    Through a separately managed mandate sized to your allocation, or as one pillar of a multi-sector portfolio. The fastest first step is the 2026 Strategy Brief — a sourced read on our current AI positioning. Request it and our sector lead will follow up within two business days.
  • 04 Are these figures sourced?
    Yes. Market-size and CAGR figures follow published industry forecasts (MarketsandMarkets), and the 2026 capital-expenditure figure follows Goldman Sachs research. Every figure we cite is verifiable — the full list lives on our Sources & Methodology page.

Figures: AI market size & CAGR — MarketsandMarkets; 2026 AI capital expenditure — Goldman Sachs. See Sources & Methodology.

The AI Buildout Is Already Funded. The Question Is How You're Positioned.
Forecast
%
AI market CAGR through 2033